Has There Been Any Discernible Human Influence on Atlantic Hurricane Climate?
نویسنده
چکیده
Detection and attribution of a human influence on climate, or some aspect of climate such as hurricane frequency, involves detection of an unusual change (outside the range of internal climate variability) in the data, and then attribution of the change to a specific anthropogenic influence, such as increasing greenhouse gas concentrations or anthropogenic aerosols. Attribution as used here means that the observed change is demonstrated to be consistent with the expected anthropogenic influence based on physical understanding (typically as incorporated in models and theory), and that the change is not consistent with alternative explanations, such as internal variability or volcanic forcing.
منابع مشابه
CHAPTER 3. Causes of Observed Changes in Extremes and Projections of Future Changes. Weather and Climate Extremes in a Changing Climate. Regions of Focus: North America, Hawaii, Caribbean, and U.S. Pacific Islands
Changes in some weather and climate extremes are attributable to human-induced emissions of greenhouse gases. Human-induced warming has likely caused much of the average temperature increase in North America • over the past 50 years. This affects changes in temperature extremes. Heavy precipitation events averaged over North America have increased over the past 50 years, • consistent with the o...
متن کاملHeightened tropical cyclone activity in the North Atlantic: natural variability or climate trend?
We find that long-period variations in tropical cyclone and hurricane frequency over the past century in the North Atlantic Ocean have occurred as three relatively stable regimes separated by sharp transitions. Each regime has seen 50% more cyclones and hurricanes than the previous regime and is associated with a distinct range of sea surface temperatures (SSTs) in the eastern Atlantic Ocean. O...
متن کاملHeightened tropical cyclone activity in the North Atlantic: natural variability or climate trend? BY GREG
We find that long-period variations in tropical cyclone and hurricane frequency over the past century in the North Atlantic Ocean have occurred as three relatively stable regimes separated by sharp transitions. Each regime has seen 50% more cyclones and hurricanes than the previous regime and is associated with a distinct range of sea surface temperatures (SSTs) in the eastern Atlantic Ocean. O...
متن کاملIncreased tropical Atlantic wind shear in model projections of global warming
[1] To help understand possible impacts of anthropogenic greenhouse warming on hurricane activity, we assess model-projected changes in large-scale environmental factors tied to variations in hurricane statistics. This study focuses on vertical wind shear (Vs) over the tropical Atlantic during hurricane season, the increase of which has been historically associated with diminished hurricane act...
متن کاملThe influence of Atlantic-Eurasian teleconnection patterns on temperature regimes in South Caspian Sea coastal areas: a study of Golestan Province, North Iran
The main objective of this study was to reveal the impact of nine climate indices on temperature changes and climate oscillations in Golestan Province along the southern coast of the Caspian Sea. Climate indices data from across the Atlantic-Eurasian sector were collected from the NCEP/NCAR, the Climate Prediction Centre (CPC) and the Climatic Research Unit (CRU) over a period of 40 years (1971...
متن کامل